Will 2012 Be As Bad As 2010 For House Dems?

Nancy Pelosi SC Will 2012 Be As Bad As 2010 For House Dems?

“If this were just our candidates versus their candidates, I would sign an affidavit that we would pick up 35 seats” says Congressman Steve Israel, the Democrat in charge of getting the House back. This false bravado sums up a big part of the Democrats’ problem: not being able to acknowledge there is a problem.

hand-wringing New York Times analysis lays out the grim situation for its Party.“The overall dynamic favors Republicans, who look poised to maintain their hold on the House. More Democrats than Republicans have retired in districts where they were endangered, and more Republicans benefited from the decennial redistricting, leaving the Democrats with too small a cushion of Teflon incumbents as they try to regain a majority in the House. Of the 80 races viewed as most competitive by The New York Times, based on polls and interviews with independent analysts, 32 are leaning Republican, 23 are leaning Democratic and 25 are tossups.”

The reality is that these numbers indicate the GOP is poised to win over 50 of these races and maybe more. Because of the cumulative effect of both elections, this would be worse than 2010 for the Democrats, who could see their numbers fall to their lowest since 1931.

Why this will happen

With less than four months to go, compared to 2008, conservative Republican enthusiasm is 16 points higher, and liberal Democrat enthusiasm is 22 points lower.

Democrats from local candidates to Barack Obama have no coherent plausible message.

Together, they have made America sick, so what can they say?

They can’t even keep their “We hate” list straight. They’ve tried to get their base to hate Bain Capital but couldn’t make their charges stick because they are lies.  They’re still trying to get their base to hate the TEA party, but every charge they make is a lie, so it falls flat. Now they are telling their Christian base to hate Christian doctrine and love Democrats, which is also doomed to fail.

There is no group Obama lost in 2008 that he is winning now and no group (not even African-Americans) he won in 2008 that he is doing better with today. Now that voters have a clearer idea of what he is all about, Barack Obama will be an even bigger drag on his Party this year than he was in 2010 when the GOP took 63 seats in a landslide not seen since 1938.

Americans are NOT going to the polls to vote against Barack Obama and then vote for a Democrat in their Congressional district, as Mr. Israel fantasizes. Come November, Democrat policies will sink them in large numbers.

Follow Coach at twitter.com @KcoachcCoach

 

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Comments

  1. Hopefully the Republican’s will take the Senate, maintain the House and arrange for moving vans to visit the White House to move BO and his families stuff back to Detroit. With and luck, BO might have to stay in DC (in jail) awaiting trial for having impersonated a president when he was not eligible to do so. With all of the pressure being exerted on him, he can’t be having a good time no matter how narcissistic he is.

  2. Let’s hope it won’t be “as bad” for the democrats…let’s hope it will be WORSE!!!!! And in the Senate as well!!

  3. I would be happy and delighted to rent the UHaul and come down there to help you move out……..the faster we get that done…..the faster we can get America back on track!!!!

  4. To think at one time I used to be a Democratic,then my brian devoloped and I saw a party was going to be a hiding place for communist{progessives ,socialist whatever the new code word is} not that the repub do’nt have some of the same just a whole lot less!,bBut its my hope and prayers that we will find men and woman of honor and character to help rebuild our Country,after this regimes bad taste is gone and those who have voilated the public trust are arrested and jailed!Some who escape will be always living in fear of being exposed but there is a divine justice or karma that will seek them out!

  5. When The Dems Leave On Break They Should Clean Out Offices And Never Return As The “Worst Group Of Politicans Ev er To Be In The White House”!! Let The Terrorist Out Of Gitmo And Put Pres Obama With Hillary Do Nothing Clinton, With Eric Coyote Holder And The Rest Of This Do Nothing White House Spend 5 To 10 At Gitmo!! God Bless America And “Susan Daniels” USA Private Eye.

  6. If I were president, I would eliminate the party’s of Democrat and Republican. They have been transformed into gangs. Members vote (or abstain) based on party lines instead of for the people they represent. When you watch the House or Senate on CNN, they argue with each other “across the isle” instead sharing ideas and coming up with laws that, collectively, benefit this country as a whole. I would tear out all those cushy seats and place them in a circle, so everyone is on the same level; So they can look at each other when they present their facts (term used loosley) and know who is lying and who is sincere.

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