Last week, we got a report on a Mitchell poll from Michigan that has the New York Times swinging off the rafters. The Grey Lady got so apoplectic over the results because they showed Mitt Romney and Barack Obama tied at 47/47 in Michigan.
Writing his rebuttal to this “outrage”, the Times’ Nate Silver cited another poll that upon closer review provides virtually the same results. Silver’s new best friends at the Lansing-based EPIC-MRA polling company say Obama leads 49/46 with a 2.6 +/- Margin of Error, which is all but the same thing. That the EPIC-MRApoll conducted in July showed Obama leading Romney in Michigan by 48%-42% didn’t seem significant enough for the Times to mention.
In his report, the EPIC-MRA pollster Bernie Porn (yes that’s his real name) said Romney leads by 13 points among Independent voters just 48/47 among men and trailed by only 51/47 with women. Silver didn’t like the Mitchell poll’s decision to use an African American turnout of eight percent because it was too low, but liked EPIC-MRA setting African-American turnout at 10%.
Silver scoffed at Mitchell’s finding of Obama leading 73/26 among African Americans. Nevertheless, Silver’s favorite poll shows Obama winning African Americans by 91/7 and white voters standing with Romney 50/45.
The 2008 CNN exit polls showed Obama winning African-American Michiganders by a rate of 97/3 and losing white voters 51/47.
If Obama loses six points from his national African American vote and actually sees the turnout of black voters drop from 12% to 10% of the total vote, he is cooked. The 48/47 lead EPIC-MRA assigns to Romney with men is quite suspicious. Anyone who believes Barack Obama is now doing better with men than he did four years ago has to offer more proof of this than what a New York Times favorite polling company has given us.
If there was no “there there” in these dueling Michigan polls, why would Nate Solver be whining as loudly as he is? Is something happening in Michigan and in many other states across the nation?
Follow Coach at twitter.com @KcoachcCoach
Photo credit: niallkennedy (Creative Commons)
Please share this post with your friends and comment below. If you haven’t already, take a moment to sign up for our free newsletter above and friend us on Twitter and Facebook to get real time updates.
Follow @WestJournalism
Loading ...
Polls can and are often skewed to reflect a predetermined result. What matter that is EVERY person with lick of common sense get off their backside and make the pilgrimage to their assigned polling place and vote for Freedom, Liberty and maybe finally…some justice to replace all the injustices thrown in our face through alleged executive powers.
That sleeze will do something illegal to fix the tallying of the votes. There is somuch fraud in voting it makes me want to vomit. Why can’t all states require ID? I don’t want to hear that it is a burden because ID’s are free and if they need to get a birth certificate and they don’t have the money the health dept. will waive the fee. So tell me what is so hard with that. I have a disabled son who got an ID free. Arizona you need to show ID and it’s great because all those lieral states don’t like it because they can fraudulantly cast votes. What a corrupt government. They will sell their mother;s soul for a vote, how pathetic.
Ovomit knows if everyone needs to show an ID he will lose big time as the fraud will be at a minimum. He will have to relie on the company counting the votes in Spain to reverse the vote so he wins.
Arizonamomma, you have hit the nail on the head. But even if people have to show ID there is still fraud, ID’s are so easy to fake & I am sure that there would still be people showing ID’s that belong to dead people of even people that don’t exist. The people at voting sites don’t have time to check to see if the ID’s are valid. The Dems don’t know how to win fairly, because they know they wouldn’t win. They are even busing people to the DNC because they are worried that enough people wouldn’t show up!!!!! We need to tell all of our family & friends to vote for ROMNEY/RYAN in November so we can take our country back form those who are totally destroying it.
Boggles my mind how utterly stupid people are after what has happened the past 4 yrs. Just UNBELIEVABLE!
AMEN to that…………….I am totally astounded that people can not see what he’s done to our country. I think Michigan and Ohio are two of the states that have been left in shambles from his total lack of leadership, and pure ignorance. God help these people SEE before November…………………………………………………………………….