Not only does the Rasmussen Daily Tracking poll show Romney up 2 points today; not only does the Rasmussen Swing State poll show Romney up 49-46 today (included are 11 states which Obama won 53-46 in 2008); not only is Romney up by 50-37 among swing state independents—but now Susquehanna Polling and Research (SPR) shows Mitt Romney up 49-45 in the normally deep blue state of Pennsylvania.
SPR is an automated poll of 1,376 likely voters, taken between October 11-13. Although its results do not include the 2nd presidential debate, Gallup incorporates over 50% of the post-debate days in its 7 day rolling average poll and Rasmussen includes only days since the debate. Yet neither of these polls show any sort of debate performance bounce for Barack Obama even though the national media proclaimed the president a clear winner over Romney. In fact, both polls show Romney in the lead, indeed a substantial lead of 7 points from the Gallup people.
Most remarkable in the SPR poll is the Democrat/Republican/Independent split. Beginning months ago, many polls have incorporated a Democrat sample comparable to or larger than the Democrat turnout of +8 in 2008. Naturally, Republicans and conservatives have railed against this phony sample as it has tended to propel Obama into leads which he will not enjoy come Election Day.
But the SPR poll has Romney up by 4 although it uses a split of 48% Democrat, 42% Republican and 10% Independent! A six point advantage for Democrats yields a 4 point advantage for Mitt Romney! And Independents account for only 10% of poll respondents. As Romney holds a fairly commanding lead among Independents in many polls across the nation—and certainly in swing states—a larger share of independents will certainly yield an advantage for the governor. And Independents generally account for some 30% of respondents in most polls.
Is the SPR poll an outlier? Apparently Republican VP candidate Paul Ryan doesn’t think so as he campaigned in Western Pennsylvania over the weekend. This can only mean the Republican team has acquired internal polling results which make it clear that campaigning in Pennsylvania can pay off on November 6th. After all, Barack Obama has been a declared enemy of the coal industry nationwide and Western Pennsylvania has made its living with coal for many, many decades!
Internals of the SPR poll are cited by the Washington Examiner. Take the time to review these and make up your own mind about the validity of the Susquehanna poll. It might turn out that SPR is much closer to the final result in Pennsylvania than CNN, the New York Times or CBS News.
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patti’s notes: 10/22/12 go at him ,romney,on foreign policy and if,you have to,bring in economy with it. let’s be the tiger with the tail. pl,orl,fla
It would be easier for Romney if Obama had ever laid out his foreign policy for all to see. All Romney has to go on are the KNOWN horrendous blunders and bloopers performed by Obama’s administration in the last 4 years. He will take credit for everything and blame for nothing. BTW, taking “responsibility” as president is NOT the same as taking the blame. On another note, I often drive from Gainesville, FL to Apopka, FL, and on to Sanford, Fl. Using I-75, the Turnpike, SR-429, SR-441, SR-436, SR-434, I-4, and SR-46, it’s about a 3 hour drive. The last few times I’ve made this drive, I have seen various size Romney/Ryan signs (yard signs at homes and businesses) from one end to the other. I have not spotted even ONE Obama/Biden sign. Not ONE! If you consider Gainesville, as a University town, relatively liberal as most are, I would expect to see a few there. At one time I did, but not in the last month or so. For me, this is better than a poll in my area. If Obama shows up and remains awake tonight, I’m sure his MSM leg-humpers will once again proclaim him the winner. Like the did at the 2nd debate. Of course, no one was fooled by that one bit. If anything, most of the “undecideds” leaned toward Romney. Even the “moderator” couldn’t help Obama. I often wish Romney wasn’t such a gentleman and rip Obama up on the blunders and outright lies of the last 4 years. Like bringing up the Muslim Botherhood and their connections in his administration. Or his refusal to reinforce security at Benghazi, or tell the truth when he knew it. Or his scheme with Iran over nuclear talks (we ALL predicted this one…and we were right). Or his comments to Putin about being freed up in his 2nd term. Or is refusal to meet with heads of state at the latest UN conference, especially Isreal. Or why our troops have to follow “warm & fuzzy” rules of engagement in Afghanistan that ultimately get them murdered. Or why he helped cover up and protect Holder over Fast & Furious. And for GAWD”S sake, somebody PLEASE bring up the UN and why the hell we’re still a member. There’s soooo much ammo there, if only Romney would pick it up and use it. tm, apopka, fl
Good gravy, it would appear that even college kids are catching on to Obama, particularly as to the jobs that he promised that haven’t appeared, and the national debt he is leaving them with.
Surprising? Pennsylvanians are a intelligent bunch. Forget about pulling the wool over our eyes. We have known for some time who Obama is, evil and a muslim.
You go Pennsylvanians !!!
I have already voted for Romney here in Wa State.
The ridiculous thing about this article is that it neglects to mention that both Obama and Romney were nominated illegally. Western Journalism is just as guilty of biased reporting as is liberal media. Why doesn’t western journalism report on all of the voter fraud ahd crimes being committed by the Republican Party and RNC? Why isn’t western journalism reporting on the facts that Romney is a criminal? that he committed voter fraud? that he profits from the abortion industry? that he outsources jobs to China? that he evades taxes? why doesn’t western journalism mention that Romney approves of taking away your guns and ability to defend yourself and then indefinitely detaining you and your family without trial? Is the Republican Party paying westernjournalism.com to deluded conservatives into replacing Obama with yet another criminal in Romney?
Obama got into office illegally and is now following through with voter fraud…..I would have no problem if Romney had to commit voter fraud to remove this evil dictator out of office. It would be for the salvation of America. An eye for an eye !