I was listening to “The O’Reilly Factor” in my car while running errands a few days ago. When I heard that he was going to talk with Las Vegas odds maker Wayne Allyn Root about the probability of the upcoming election, I turned up my radio.
“I’ve been saying since May,” Root said , “that Romney will win in a landslide. It will be a 5 to 7 point popular vote and 100 electoral vote victory for Mitt Romney.”
For what it’s worth, Mr. Root correctly predicted BHO’s imminent victory in 2008. With an impending sense of deep regret and disappointment, I also knew in my heart of hearts that he would win back then; and I know with equal conviction and certainty that he will not be re-elected on November 6th. Here’s why.
Las Vegas gambling establishments do not establish favorable odds for bets they may even remotely lose. Theirs is a policy of stacking the odds in favor of the house. They do NOT base their determinations on mere gut feelings or instinct. They watch and listen to people, and they look at the statistical facts. When athletic contests are involved, the primary factor they look to is past performance. They also fundamentally rely on good old common sense.
In addition to setting the odds on bets in Las Vegas, Wayne Allyn Root is an outspoken former Libertarian and former Vice Presidential candidate for his party. I guess I’ve been under a rock because before hearing him on the radio, I was not familiar with Mr. Root or his work. I’m glad I do now because I’m not alone in my perception about the upcoming election. He has his own website known as Root For America, which promotes him as an all around political and financial star.
As he aptly points out, most political predictions are made by biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting for Republicans or Democrats. Mr. Root is none of these. He calls ‘em like he sees ‘em. He plans on voting for Mr. Romney as well.
As I noted in my article entitled “Call It A Correction or A Gift: It’s Coming”, all the polls fail to consider one simple factor – common sense. I opined that the quiet and unpretentious voters across middle America will slam BHO to the ground while delivering a popular mandate to the Governor.
Mr. Root clarifies this point further with uncanny simplicity:
Not one American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will switch to Obama. Not one in all the land. But many millions of people who voted for an unknown Obama 4 years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or scared about the future. Voters know Obama now – and that is a bad harbinger.
Mr. Root also aptly notes that BHO will likely lose a significant number of black votes due to his stance on same-sex marriage and general disillusionment among that voting block as well.
Another sage profession I admire and listen to are barbers and hairdressers. If you want a dose of common sense and logic, listen to what they say. They deal with a broad segment of society day in and day out. They hear what people think about our government and political system. Customers unwittingly express their values and beliefs in the course of their seemingly general conversations. Chances are your barber or beautician knows more about you than many people in your life because you are relaxed but confined to a chair while you engage in small talk as the appearance of your coif is improved.
I took my son for a haircut this afternoon and got a little trim myself. I’ve been visiting the same barber in the small town where I live for nearly 25 years now. He’s a bit older than I, conservative and a Mittney supporter. He owns his shop with his wife, who is a typical talkative but very observant hairdresser. She’s closer to my age and has supported the Governor well before he received his party’s nomination, when I was still pinning my hopes on the likes of Herman, Rick, and Newt. According to the barber and hairdresser polls, Mittney will win, and he will do so for the same reasons enumerated above; to wit, people are generally fed up and tired of nearly four years of failed/non-existent policies and economic demise.
I have faith in the American voting public even in the face of the popular adage that common sense is very uncommon. That may be true with respect to excessive red tape and unnecessarily complicated means to accomplish an eventual end. But when it comes to its citizens choosing their leader for the next four years, America has a long history of making the right choice at the right time. Those who voted for BHO in 2008 thought they had a candidate who would fulfill his hope and change rhetoric. Instead, we got a president who has instilled fear and worry among the populace.
If you have watched any of the three debates between the candidates, it is painfully obvious that BHO has not only failed to explain what his administration has alledgedly accomplished, but he has not told America what he is planning to do for another term if he is re-elected. His television ads proclaim “We’re not there yet, but we’ve made real progress. And the last thing we should do is turn back now.” In light of that proclamation, one can only reasonably assume he intends to do nothing new or different save for promoting the same policies (or lack thereof) that he has promulgated these four years past.
The only thing that has progressed during this President’s watch is the amount of the national debt. Seriously, what progress could he possibly be referring to? Contrary to BHO’s assertion, the first thing President Romney should and will do is to make a u-turn in an effort to undo the catastrophe called the Obama Administration. If not a u-turn, Mittney will at least make the right turn that is necessary to restore this great nation of ours back to a place of domestic tranquility and international leadership.
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