by Kevin “Coach” Collins

An analysis of Barack Obama’s reelection chances shows most of what we are being told to be lies, half-truths, and distortions designed to scare conservatives and dampen our spirits.

Consider these points.

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We have heard over and over that even trying to win this election is hopeless, because anywhere from 46 percent to 52 percent (or whatever the media think would scare and dishearten us) of Americans are receiving federal money, and they will not vote against their own interests. This presupposes those who are used to sitting back and taking from the rest of us will vote at the same rate we will. We will be protecting our families and America’s future; we won’t be staying home. A recent enthusiasm survey, done by the liberal NBC/Wall Street Journal, showed that liberals are 21 points less likely to vote than conservatives – and conservatives outnumber liberals two-to-one.

In a recent piece groveling for Mitt Romney’s nomination, RINO John Podhoretz tried his hand at scaring us by mentioning Obama will have $750 million dollars to throw at Newt Gingrich should he become our nominee – as if he wouldn’t spend the same amount attacking Romney.  While this is far below the one billion dollars in the continuing scare tactic version of how Obama’s fundraising is progressing. (Even $750,000,000 may be an unattainable goal.)

Nevertheless, proving he too can be right at least once a week, Karl Rove has  dissected this notion saying:

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Even though at least $35 million (almost half the total Obama/DNC haul) can be credited to just 244 well-connected “bundlers,” Team Obama made a big thing of their 260,000 new small dollar donors. But that means only 292,000 donors from his last campaign have renewed their support for the re-elect so far. That’s just 6.6 percent of the 3.95 million people who donated to the ’08 Obama effort, only a quarter to a third of what most reelect campaigns could expect from renewal efforts at this point.

Another scary statement we’ve heard pretty regularly is, “Oh it’s no use fighting because the jerky kids that voted Obama in last time will march zombie-like to the polls and reelect him!” This sounds pretty scary, but it doesn’t square with reality.

In 2008, 66 percent of voters 18-to-29 voted for Obama but the latest NBC/WSJ survey shows their support has fallen to 48 percent – and then there is that question of enthusiasm.

Anyone who thinks this group will turn out for Obama as they did in 2008 had better take a look at their turnout in 2009 and 2010.

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