Never mind the debates, said those very knowledgeable members of the mainstream media, as they will have no appreciable effect on the election. Whistling past the graveyard has always been a popular pastime among journalists, especially when they have the distinct feeling that their candidate might not be up to a very important, very public challenge.
Well, it has now been a week and a day since the Barack debacle in Denver, and polls have not only swung to Romney’s favor-they have done so in a startling, even unprecedented way.
Here are the numbers:
The Rasmussen Swing State Poll involves 11 states won by Obama in 2008 and believed to be competitive this time around. Romney now leads 49%-47%, the first time he has led this particular poll since September 17th.
Internals in the Swing State Poll show Romney leading among independents by 49%-39%, a big margin and a disaster for Obama. Romney leads among men by 11%, and Obama leads among women by 5%. Among those certain of their vote, Romney leads by 46-40. Among independents, that lead is 43-31, with a 50-36 lead among men and only a 41-44 deficit among women.
In the American Research Group poll in Ohio, Romney leads 48-47; and this is with a sample favoring Democrats by 9 percentage points, 42-33 with 30 for independents. In the 2008 election, Obama won by only 8 points! Among independents, Romney is up by 20 points. Once again, Obama won independents by 8 in Ohio in 2008. (In 2010, the Dem/Rep/Indep split was 36-37-28!)
Here’s an October 9th result from the famously conservative Daily Kos! On the day of the debate, Markos Moulitsas had Obama up 49-45. One week later, Romney is up 49-47! The sample is 40-37-23; and as the Hot Air website puts it, “that significantly undersamples independents, which becomes an issue when one sees how independents break out in the election.”
In 2008, Obama won women by 13 points and men by 1. Daily Kos now has Romney leading men by 12 and trailing Obama in the women’s vote by 6. From +14 to -6 in four short years! (Ninety two years later and the 19th Amendment is still a mistake. Oh well.)
Gallup’s likely voter survey favors Romney 49-47 as of October 9th. One week ago, Gallup had Obama leading by 5.
In the latest PEW poll, Romney is up 49-45 among likely voters. Of interest is the PEW finding that Obama and Romney are TIED with registered voters, something almost unheard of as Democrats generally feast on such a sample. A PEW poll prior to the debate had Obama leading by 8, 51-43!
And for those impressed by the folks who make the odds, a gentleman in Las Vegas has written that he “…predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney would be very close until election day. But that on election day Romney would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980.”
By the way, for those who break into night sweats about Obama’s minions and the voter fraud we all know is coming, do yourselves a favor and forget about it. Even the One will not be able to generate enough dead, illegal alien, and fraudulent absentee ballots to overcome the lacing he’s going to receive on November 6th.
Follow Coach at twitter.com @KcoachcCoach
Photo credit: terrellaftermath
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Of course there are no Dems commenting here. They already know Obama is going to get his butt kicked come November 6th. ROMNEY/RYAN 2012
Obama is the loser in chief and he is married to a debacle who hates America as he does. NOBAMA 2012
THIS MUSLIM BOZO CAN ONLY WIN UNDER VOTER FRAUD
That might be absolutely true, so we need to outvote him to offset all of their illegal votes!
They have been saying there will be riots if Nobama loses so if that is the only way he can win we will be lucky to be rid of him. How can anyone even think about another 4 years with that on the down low illegal Muslim who would like nothing better than to turn this country into a Muslim nation
Boy, this is some great news… I was very worried for a while… now I am afraid of all the emails that I am recieving over China and Russia getting together to gang up on us…They say that we may need bomb shelters again..
I wouldn’t worry about China. We owe them too much money.
all the polling news is great news and well overdue, the problem is much deeper however, since Polls and just Polls and it’s not who votes that wins, but its who counts the votes that wins. A prime example is that clown of a Senator, yes I know which one, since most of them have proven themselves not only to be clowns but to be worthless clowns as well. As a friend of mine used to say, I am degreasing! LOL!
The clown of a Senator that I am referring to is the Senator from Minnesota Al Frankin, in the re-count he one by a mere 350 votes and it was later soon later determined that over five hundred felons voted for him. It was also Frankin’s single vote in the Senate that clinched Obam-Care, that if implemented will cost the American people billions of wasted dollars.
This also shows the importance of each and every vote. If the Republican’s want to win the Senate and the Oval office, we will have to outvote the Chicago Machine by a minimum of ten percent to make up for their fudge factor. Tell your friends and have them tell their friends to get out and vote so we can throw this Muslim Arab out of the White House.
and ship him and his ape back to Kenya where they belong being they hate America and the people are lazy sheep and that is the way he wants to keep them by giving them welfare, food stamps, free phones and big signs allowing the illegal to keep on coming because he is an illegal POS
Rush Limbaugh Says If You Had The Election Today The Class-Act Romney/Allen Ticket Would Win By A “Landslide” God Bless America And The Romney Family.
The only poll that matters is the one on November 6th. Show up and vote!
we must be HYPER-ALERT to voter fraud. ALL you folks out there, be ALERT, get involved, pay attention. i would suggest you contact the voting officials in your state and get implicit guarantees that ALL military votes will be received, and duly counted on time.